Saturday, December 30, 2006

More on Trade policies

In the chapter “The Exorbitant Cost of Free Trade” in Lou Dobbs’ book “War On the Middle Class”, he goes into some of the details of what’s at stake. He writes: “The Economic Policy Institute estimates that 99 percent of our trade deficit is a result of having to buy goods and services that are no longer maufactured in the United States.” The result is the US “. . . is being bankrupted by a nearly $9 trillion national debt and an almost $5 trillion trade debt.” Both G. W. Bush and Bill Clinton are to blame as well as “ . . . the Republicans and Democrats in Congress who have ceded their constitutional responsibility to formulate trade agreements by granting the president so-called fast-track authority, which gives him absolute control over the negotiations of these pacts . . . Our free trade agreements have been so one-sided and so unfair to American workers that you would be forgiven for believing that the U.S. trade representatives simply forgot to show up for the negotiations.” (page 93)
The end result of the unfavorable trade policies the US has agreed to during the past few years will be a middle class with no or a low-paying job, little or no extra money for health care, education, real estate taxes, savings, etc. Is that what the US Congress and the administration are trying to accomplish? It looks like it.
You will be able to buy good, low cost imported tvs, appliances, clothing, furniture, and lots of other physical products (A nice Chinese sedan anyone--real cheap?) but you may not be able to afford the services that can only be supplied by local Americans (or illegal immigrants). Doctors, nurses, teachers, lawyers, gardeners, car repair mechanics, etc. expect to be paid at American wage rates, not Chinese. In other words, a car may be manufactured at Chinese wage rates but it has to be maintained at American wage rates. At present we are outsourcing the jobs of computer programmers, engineers, medical technicians, accountants, etc., and many, many production activities. Are all these good-paying jobs supposed to be replaced by lower-paying service jobs? If not, where are all the new high-paying jobs? Some US companies, using advanced production methods, have been able to compete with the low, low labor costs of China and India, but many others have not been able to. But the ones who are able to compete use far fewer workers than formerly. Actually, many standardized products can be made with automatic production methods, so this is an ongoing problem even if outsourcing was not making it a lot worse and bringing it on a lot faster.
Actually, so far as outsourcing is concerned, it seems that the boards of directors of many American companies have not been very efficient. Many American CEOs, CFOs, etc. now make an average of several million dollars per year. Many of these positions could probably be outsourced to China or India for one tenth or so of the present cost. How much activity of this sort has there been? I don’t know but I suspect-- “not much”.

One of America's Problems

Lou Dobbs’ book, “War on the Middle Class” is probably the best rundown on America’s present problems that you are likely to see. The most serious problem is probably the free trade treaties that most Republican and some or many Democrats support. These treaties are undermining the entire base of the middle class. NAFTA and CAFTA should be repealed as soon as possible. Bill Clinton pushed NAFTA through early in his first term but now it is time for him to step up to a microphone and simply say: “I was wrong about NAFTA. It should be repealed.”

The top wealthiest 0.1% of American families (about 300,000 people) had a combined income in 2004 greater than the combined income of the bottom 40% of Americans, about 120 million Americans. Since 1979 the top 0.1% have seen their combined income rise by 3 times (300%), while the bottom 60% of Americans have barely kept pace. (Ben Stein column, NY Times Business section, Dec. 10, 2006.)

So the question is, who among the available presidential candidates is going to address this problem and try to fix it? It’s not going to be a Republican, that’s for sure. Is there a Democratic politician in the whole country who will face the problem and try to solve it? Will the candidate of Unity 08 try to solve it?

Thursday, December 07, 2006

The Commission on Iraq

The Commission Report on Iraq

The US should send a note to the Iraqi president and congress to the following effect:

Dear Mr. President:

On Feb. 1, 2007, the US will begin withdrawing about 10% (10,000 to 12,000 troops) of the US forces now in Iraq. The withdrawal will be completed by March 1, 2007. Troops will be completely withdrawn from the following villages, towns, neighborhoods, and/or areas:

1. (Name of place)
2. (Name of plalce)
3. Etc.

On April 1, 2007, another 10,000 to 12,000 troops will be withdrawn from various areas. Details will be provided later.

Sincerely


The US Government
(Signed)